Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.017010 0.018867 0.020738 0.022762 0.024883 0.027035 0.029381
2025-06-01 0.013381 0.016163 0.019082 0.022351 0.025888 0.029578 0.033701
2025-06-08 0.010961 0.014243 0.017805 0.021904 0.026443 0.031271 0.036759
2025-06-15 0.009409 0.013054 0.017125 0.021917 0.027319 0.033154 0.039867
2025-06-22 0.007874 0.011713 0.016130 0.021444 0.027542 0.034217 0.041984
2025-06-29 0.006353 0.010235 0.014852 0.020539 0.027179 0.034547 0.043213
2025-07-06 0.005038 0.008878 0.013613 0.019585 0.026680 0.034656 0.044131
2025-07-13 0.004488 0.008449 0.013459 0.019880 0.027597 0.036343 0.046801
2025-07-20 0.003763 0.007712 0.012866 0.019601 0.027803 0.037185 0.048485
2025-07-27 0.003182 0.007112 0.012404 0.019446 0.028127 0.038140 0.050276
2025-08-03 0.003050 0.007152 0.012769 0.020314 0.029672 0.040512 0.053690
2025-08-10 0.002539 0.006566 0.012265 0.020059 0.029837 0.041251 0.055207
2025-08-17 0.001879 0.005708 0.011416 0.019430 0.029648 0.041705 0.056562
2025-08-24 0.001376 0.005027 0.010776 0.019062 0.029790 0.042576 0.058444
2025-08-31 0.000957 0.004388 0.010137 0.018650 0.029845 0.043318 0.060153
2025-09-07 0.000701 0.003999 0.009832 0.018662 0.030413 0.044662 0.062559
2025-09-14 0.000428 0.003453 0.009230 0.018227 0.030385 0.045262 0.064064
2025-09-21 0.000187 0.002802 0.008381 0.017395 0.029805 0.045160 0.064709
2025-09-28 0.000045 0.002207 0.007541 0.016520 0.029130 0.044909 0.065150
2025-10-05 0.000016 0.002061 0.007487 0.016791 0.029967 0.046532 0.067847
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001757 0.007097 0.016535 0.030082 0.047242 0.069429
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001517 0.006795 0.016393 0.030339 0.048121 0.071209
2025-10-26 NaN 0.001563 0.007095 0.017189 0.031877 0.050622 0.074972